US Midterm Elections 2018

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Post by Eldorion Fri Jan 05, 2018 2:34 am

AKA the ones that nobody cares about because they don't happen during Presidential election years.

Primaries begin in early March, general election date is November 6. Up for grabs are 36 out of 50 governorships, 33 out of 100 Senate seats, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, and lots offices and legislative seats at the state level which rarely get reported on in the national news.

Aside from speculation about the implications of this year's races on Trump and the 2020 election, the biggest news that I've heard so far (which isn't saying much since I haven't been following political news closely lately) is that Mitt Romney is reportedly going to run for Orrin Hatch's Senate seat in Utah since Hatch is retiring.
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Post by halfwise Fri Jan 05, 2018 2:45 am

these elections will definitely be seen as a referendum on Trump and the incumbent Republicans. It will be very interesting.

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Post by Eldorion Fri Jan 05, 2018 2:55 am

It should be remembered that incumbent parties usually lose ground in Congress during midterm elections (though not necessarily enough to cost them their majorities), but the specifics of what goes down will be telling, yeah.

Edit: should say the party of the incumbent President, which doesn't always have a majority in either house of Congress to begin with, but they still generally see a net loss. In this case there's no difference because the GOP currently enjoys a unified government.
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Post by halfwise Sat Jan 06, 2018 3:12 am

This is the best explanation of Trump's appeal that I've seen. It's not talking down to anyone.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/everybodys-forgetting-trumps-odd-superpower-200807773.html

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Post by Bluebottle Sat Jan 06, 2018 7:38 pm

That forgets one big thing for me. A lot of people voted for Trump pretty much holding their nose at the ballot box, and not of any real support for him, but as a vote for change. They have no personal identification with Trump which part of his voters obviously have, and they will judge him on merit, namely whether he makes positive changes in their lives. So far, he has showed himself as a dangerous incomepetent, mostly out to demolish the work of his predecessor, and to make favours for his friends and wealthy. Yes, Trump has devoted supporters who will stick with him, but there are plenty of stories that voted for Trump, not out of any idea of identification with him or his movement, quite the opposite, but as a vote for a change. A betterment for middle America. Trump in reality is the opposite. Just my take. Shrugging

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Post by halfwise Sat Jan 06, 2018 8:26 pm

True, but the article was arguing for why he may keep more support than expected, even if he doesn't perform.

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